Gold is moving steadily near $4,220 as the market awaits crucial US inflation data

Gold is moving steadily near $4,220 as the market awaits crucial US inflation data.

Gold hits a new high of $4,255 in spot markets

Gold is holding steady ahead of the release of US PCE data that could set the course for federal interest rates, amid pressure from a strong dollar and rising bond yields.Gold held onto modest gains in Friday's trading, with the XAU/USD pair moving within the narrow range the market has become accustomed to this week, as investors awaited the release of US personal consumption expenditures data, the last major indicator before next week's Federal Reserve meeting. At the time of writing, gold was trading near $4,222 an ounce.

Gold prices above $4200

What’s happening:-

 Gold prices settled higher on Thursday amid weakness in the US dollar.

What happened:-

 Investors remained cautious after the US reported mixed labour market data.

Markets await the release of the US inflation rate to get more insights into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.

Why it matters:-

 Data released on Thursday showed that new US jobless claims declined to 191,000 in the latest week, hitting the lowest level in more than three years. The figure also came in better than market estimates of 220,000 new jobless claims.

Meanwhile, ADP data released on Wednesday showed US private payrolls declining by 32,000 in November. This marked the steepest decline in over 2.5 years. Consulting firm Challenger announced 71,321 layoffs in the month, citing restructuring, AI adoption and the impact of tariffs.

International gold prices

Markets continue to expect the Federal Reserve to cut its key interest rates by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting to support softness in the labour market. Lower rates generally provide a boost to non-yielding assets like gold.

Weakness in the US dollar lent further support to gold, as a softer greenback makes metals more affordable for foreign buyers. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback’s performance versus a basket of major peers, fell to a one-month low on Thursday.

US gold for February gained 0.2% to settle at $4,243.00 per ounce on Thursday.

In other commodities, silver declined to $57.491 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $58.98 in the previous session. The white metal has almost doubled in value this year, driven by supply deficit and its inclusion in the US list of critical minerals. Platinum settled at $1,660.6, while palladium closed at $1,484.00 on Thursday.

Gold prices

What to watch:-

 Data on Personal Consumption Expenditures, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released today (1900 UAE Time). PCE prices in the US, which surged 2.7% year-over-year in August, the highest in six months, are expected to jump by 2.8% in September.

Investors will also keep an eye on the movement in the US dollar and any outcome of the talks between the US and Russia.